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Saturday, November 20, 2004
Post War Credits
Post War Credits
Martin G. Evans
Professor Emeritus, Rotman School of Management
University of Toronto
The cost of the Second Iraq War is inexorably increasing. At the last count the financial
cost is approaching $150 billion. We must pay for this war ourselves. It would be immoral and
irresponsible to pass the cost of the war on to our children and grandchildren.
The question is how to pay for it. In 1940 John Maynard Keynes published a small
monograph entitled “How to pay for the war.” Later that year, the British Government
incorporated some of his ideas into the Post War Credits scheme. This involved a forced saving
deduction from an individual’s income; the savings were to be paid back after the war – in fact
they only began to be paid back on a person’s retirement and people were still receiving post war
credits as late as 1973 – almost thirty years after the war had ended.
I suggest that the U.S. adopt a similar scheme – it has the advantage of paying for the war
in the short term and creating individual retirement savings accounts in the longer term, which is
a priority of the present Administration. A progressive forced loan of the form outlined in the
Table would generate about $128 billion dollars a year – enough to put a big dent in the Iraq
war’s cost. The scheme I propose here would be steeply progressive with the surcharge
beginning at an income of $60,000. All income over $60,000 would be subject to a forced loan
rate of 1%, an additional 1% would be charged on income over $100,000. After each increment
of $50,000, there would be an additional 1% surcharge though the rate would even out at 16% of
the portion of a person’s income over $500,000. This represents about a 1% increase in
withholding at the lowest level but represents about a 45% increase in withholding for the
millionaires among us.
Income Forced loan rate. Additional withholding from
income.
under $60,000 0.0 % $0.00
$60,000 to $100,000 1.0 % 0 to $400
$100,000 to $150,000 2.0 % $400 to $1,400
$150,000 to $200,000 3.0% $1,400 to $2,400
$200,000 to $250,000 4.5 % $2,400 to $5,150
$250,000 to $300,000 6.0 % $5,150 to $8,150
$300,000 to $350,000 7.5 % $8,150 to $11,510
$350,000 to $400,000 9.0 % $11,510 to $14,150
$400,000 to $450,000 11.0 % $14,150 to $17,150
$450,000 to $500,000 13.0 % $17,150 to $28,400
$500,000 to $1,000,000 16.0 % $28,400 to $ 108,400
$1,000,000 to $2,000,000, etc 16.0 % $108,400 to $268,400, etc
Alternative levels of withholding and different levels of progression could be
administered if the scheme proposed here was thought to be too draconian. The important point
is to get the war paid for by this generation.
The funds in each individual’s loan account would accrue interest at the rate of 3%; this
interest would accrue tax free in the individual’s account. At retirement, the account would be
converted to an annuity with the repayment of the interest portion being taxable.
This plan would ensure that the present generation paid the costs of its war and would
have, as a bonus, the effect of generating retirement savings for the wealthier half of the country.
Retirement funds for the poorer among us will have to await an administration more committed
to the social safety net
Wednesday, November 3, 2004
Going to the Hogs
ate: November 3 2004
Sent to but not published by Boston Globe
The country is going to the hogs.With the re-election of George W. Bush, the greedy business executives who looted their companies and the country have received a carte blanche. They are free to continue to pay wages below a living wage. They are free to offer jobs without health benefits though the benefits they receive are very nice, thank you. They can continue their drive to reduce regulations that are the protection of the public. They will be accountable to no one.
I lament for the nation.
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